The dollar fell to a three-week low against the yen on Friday (May 3) after data showed that US job growth slowed more than expected in April and annual wage gains cooled, boosting bets that the Federal Reserve will cut rates two times this year.
Employers added 175,000 jobs last month, below economists’ expectations for a 243,000 increase. Wages increased 3.9 per cent in the 12 months through April, below expectations for a 4.0 per cent gain after rising 4.1 per cent in March.
The unemployment rate rose to 3.9 per cent from 3.8 per cent, still staying below 4 per cent for the 27th straight month.
“The data’s soft across the board from the Fed’s perspective,” said Jason Pride, chief of investment strategy and research at Glenmede in Philadelphia.
Fed funds futures traders raised bets that the Fed will cut rates two times this year, with 49 basis points of easing now priced in, up from 42 basis points before the data.
Still, the report itself is unlikely to sway Fed policy unless the trend continues.
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“An unemployment rate of 3.9 per cent is not something disastrous. This indicates an economy that is not declining dramatically, but it definitely indicates a looser labour market,” said Pride. “It gives the Fed some hope, but it does not establish the trend for them.”
The dollar index was last down 0.51 per cent on the day at 104.76 after earlier reaching 104.52, the lowest since April 10. The euro gained 0.57 per cent to US$1.0786.
The greenback weakened 0.77 per cent to 152.44 Japanese yen and got as low as 151.86, the weakest since April 10.
The yen surged late on Wednesday and on Monday, both in light trading conditions, in moves that traders and analysts attributed to intervention by Japanese authorities.
The Japanese currency is on track for its best weekly percentage gain against the greenback since November 2022, after Japanese authorities also intervened in October 2022 to shore up the currency.
Japanese officials are trying to pull the yen off of a 34-year low as it suffers from a wide interest rate differential with the United States. REUTERS
