OIL prices settled more than 1 per cent higher on Friday (Dec 27) and recorded a weekly gain in low trading volume ahead of year-end, buoyed by a larger-than-expected drawdown from US crude inventories last week.
Brent crude futures rose 91 US cents, or 1.2 per cent, to settle at US$74.17 per barrel. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose 98 US cents, or 1.4 per cent, to US$70.60 per barrel.
On a weekly basis, both Brent and WTI crude gained about 1.4 per cent.
US crude oil inventories fell by 4.2 million barrels in the week ended Dec 20 as refiners ramped up activity and the holiday season boosted fuel demand, data from the US Energy Information Administration showed on Friday.
Analysts polled by Reuters had expected a 1.9 million-barrel drawdown, whereas figures from the American Petroleum Institute released earlier in the week estimated a 3.2 million-barrel draw, according to market sources.
Optimism over Chinese economic growth has also sparked hopes of higher demand next year from the top oil importing nation.
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On Thursday, the World Bank raised its forecast for Chinese economic growth in 2024 and 2025. Meanwhile, Chinese authorities have agreed to issue special treasury bonds worth three trillion yuan (S$559 billion) next year, sources told Reuters this week, as Beijing acts to revive the sluggish economy.
The war between Russia and Ukraine, which had become an afterthought in energy markets due to stagnant global oil demand, seems to be returning to the forefront after numerous events this week that could impact supplies next year, fuel distributor TACenergy’s trading desk wrote on Friday.
Nato said on Friday it would boost its presence in the Baltic Sea, a day after Finland seized a ship carrying Russian oil on suspicion of causing Internet and power cable outages. Meanwhile, Dutch and British wholesale natural gas prices rose amid fading hopes for a new deal to transit Russian gas through Ukraine.
Tensions have flared in the Middle East too, after Israel raided a north Gaza hospital on Friday and struck targets linked to the Houthi movement in Yemen on Thursday, but these events are unlikely to affect oil prices much heading into next year, StoneX analyst Alex Hodes said.
Instead, the largest risk in the Middle East is from sanctions enforcement that will likely occur with the incoming Donald Trump administration in the US, he said. REUTERS
